Executive Summary
1. Carbon Fiber: eVTOL Unlocks a Trillion-Dollar Growth Curve
The commercialization of the low-altitude economy, particularly eVTOL (electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft), is redefining demand for carbon fiber.
Key Developments
Commercialization Milestone
Leading manufacturers such as EHang Intelligent and Fengfei Aviation have announced mass production timelines in Q3 2026, signaling the transition from prototype to industrial scale. Composite materials account for over 90% of eVTOL structural weight, with high-modulus carbon fiber becoming indispensable.
Localization Breakthrough
China now represents 52.5% of global carbon fiber capacity, marking a decisive shift in global supply dynamics. The successful deployment of T1100-grade ultra-high-strength carbon fiber in aerospace and Type IV hydrogen storage cylinders reflects a move from low-end oversupply to high-end technological leadership.
Hydrogen Energy as a Second Growth Engine
With accelerating adoption of hydrogen-powered heavy-duty vehicles, demand for carbon fiber in high-pressure hydrogen tanks has grown 30% YoY in 2026, emerging as the second-largest demand driver after wind turbine blades.
2. Fiberglass: From Overcapacity to Structural Shortage
After prolonged price competition and inventory correction, the fiberglass industry is entering a phase of high-quality recovery.
Key Trends
High-End Supply Tightening
While commodity-grade fiberglass capacity growth has slowed, structural shortages have emerged in:
- High-modulus fiberglass (for 100m+ wind turbine blades)
- Low-dielectric fiberglass (for 6G infrastructure and high-frequency PCBs)
Prices in these segments have increased by approximately 15% year-on-year.
Oligopoly Consolidation
The global competitive landscape continues to concentrate around major players such as:
- China Jushi
- Sinoma Technology
- International Composites
China’s total fiberglass capacity is projected to reach 8.94 million tons in 2026, further strengthening its global pricing power.
Automotive Lightweighting Acceleration
The penetration rate of long fiber reinforced thermoplastics (LFT) in new energy vehicle components (chassis, battery enclosures) has exceeded 40%, accelerating the substitution of traditional metals.
3. Composite Materials: Thermoplastics & Circular Economy Become Industry Standards
Environmental regulations are no longer a constraint—they are now innovation drivers.
Structural Shifts
Thermoplastic Composites (TPC) Surge
Thanks to recyclability and rapid molding cycles (seconds-level production), TPC adoption is expanding rapidly. The global market size in automotive and electronics is expected to reach USD 36.5 billion in 2026.
Closed-Loop Recycling Becomes Mandatory
Major global players such as Toray and Sinofibers have launched recycled carbon fiber product lines. From 2026 onward, European regulations mandate minimum recycling content, marking the industry’s transition into a circular economy model.
4. 2026 H2 Outlook: Growth with Structural Differentiation
| Dimension | Forecast Trend | Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Market Size | USD 123 billion (global composites market) | Aerospace recovery, wind power expansion, eVTOL growth |
| Technology Focus | AFP (Automated Fiber Placement), 3D printing | Labor cost reduction, complex geometry manufacturing |
| Regional Focus | Asia-Pacific dominates capacity; Europe leads recycling regulation | Supply chain regionalization, carbon border policies |
The second half of 2026 is expected to see continued expansion driven by aerospace recovery, wind energy investments, and the eVTOL commercialization wave, while high-end material shortages may persist.
